Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.002545 0.002710 0.002888 0.003095 0.003329 0.003589 0.003902
2025-01-05 0.002259 0.002478 0.002727 0.003035 0.003412 0.003866 0.004471
2025-01-12 0.002042 0.002284 0.002568 0.002936 0.003411 0.004022 0.004907
2025-01-19 0.001920 0.002182 0.002500 0.002926 0.003504 0.004297 0.005548
2025-01-26 0.001749 0.002004 0.002317 0.002747 0.003344 0.004191 0.005597
2025-02-02 0.001688 0.001955 0.002293 0.002768 0.003455 0.004485 0.006341
2025-02-09 0.001658 0.001944 0.002313 0.002848 0.003657 0.004948 0.007530
2025-02-16 0.001609 0.001902 0.002288 0.002861 0.003756 0.005260 0.008556
2025-02-23 0.001594 0.001904 0.002321 0.002959 0.004000 0.005875 0.010582
2025-03-02 0.001536 0.001845 0.002264 0.002917 0.004007 0.006047 0.011610
2025-03-09 0.001474 0.001777 0.002192 0.002844 0.003951 0.006084 0.012282
2025-03-16 0.001453 0.001764 0.002197 0.002891 0.004111 0.006604 0.014977
2025-03-23 0.001428 0.001747 0.002197 0.002937 0.004289 0.007254 0.019380
2025-03-30 0.001378 0.001693 0.002142 0.002890 0.004286 0.007479 0.022438
2025-04-06 0.001322 0.001628 0.002066 0.002801 0.004191 0.007449 0.024074
2025-04-13 0.001290 0.001596 0.002038 0.002793 0.004256 0.007872 0.030566
2025-04-20 0.001222 0.001509 0.001924 0.002627 0.003981 0.007272 0.026552
2025-04-27 0.001202 0.001493 0.001917 0.002647 0.004095 0.007834 0.036588
2025-05-04 0.001196 0.001496 0.001939 0.002721 0.004335 0.008903 0.071092
2025-05-11 0.001177 0.001478 0.001928 0.002732 0.004439 0.009584 0.144036
2025-05-18 0.001175 0.001486 0.001958 0.002823 0.004742 0.011243 NaN
2025-05-25 0.001147 0.001454 0.001921 0.002784 0.004727 0.011561 NaN
2025-06-01 0.001115 0.001415 0.001871 0.002717 0.004632 0.011474 NaN